Single poll
INSA poll of 2 September 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Aug 2024 to 2 Sep 2024
- Respondents
- 2,002
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.5%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 30 Aug 2024 to 2 Sep 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 Aug 2024, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.4 points higher and Grüne 1.7 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Sep 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.4average 16.6
- Grüne -1.7average 12.2
- BSW +1.7average 7.8
- Linke -0.5average 3.0
- FDP -0.4average 4.9
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 31.6
- SPD +0.1average 14.9
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU232
- AfD140
- SPD111
- Grüne77
- BSW70
- CDU/CSU + AfD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW379 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne328 of 630
- AfD + SPD + BSW321 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 31 Aug 2024INSA, 7 Sep 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.