Single poll
INSA poll of 31 August 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 30 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 1,202
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 26 to 30 Aug 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Aug 2024, FDP loses 1.5 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.4 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.4average 16.6
- Grüne -1.2average 12.2
- BSW +1.2average 7.8
- SPD +1.1average 14.9
- FDP -0.9average 4.9
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 31.6
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU227
- AfD139
- SPD117
- Grüne81
- BSW66
- CDU/CSU + AfD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW374 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne337 of 630
- AfD + SPD + BSW322 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 26 Aug 2024INSA, 2 Sep 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.