INSA poll of 26 August 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 26 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU31.5%+0.5
- AfD18.5%+0.5
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- Grüne11.5%+0.5
- BSW9.0%±0
- FDP5.5%+0.5
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Aug 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.5%, followed by AfD on 18.5%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 23 to 26 Aug 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Aug 2024, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.9average 16.6
- BSW +1.2average 7.8
- Grüne -0.7average 12.2
- FDP +0.6average 4.9
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 31.6
- SPD +0.1average 14.9
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU218
- AfD128
- SPD104
- Grüne80
- BSW62
- FDP38
- CDU/CSU + AfD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + BSW + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.