INSA poll of 24 August 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 23 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 1,202
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU31.0%+0.5
- AfD18.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%+0.5
- Grüne11.0%+0.5
- BSW9.0%-0.5
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Aug 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 19 to 23 Aug 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Aug 2024, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.4average 16.6
- Grüne -1.2average 12.2
- BSW +1.2average 7.8
- SPD +1.1average 14.9
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 31.6
- FDP +0.1average 4.9
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU217
- AfD126
- SPD112
- Grüne77
- BSW63
- FDP35
- CDU/CSU + AfD343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.