Single poll
INSA poll of 20 August 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 19 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.5%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 16 to 19 Aug 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Aug 2024, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.2 points higher and Grüne 1.7 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.2average 16.8
- Grüne -1.7average 12.2
- BSW +1.6average 7.9
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 31.4
- SPD +0.6average 14.9
- FDP ±0average 5.0
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU214
- AfD133
- SPD109
- Grüne73
- BSW66
- FDP35
- CDU/CSU + AfD347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD323 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP322 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 17 Aug 2024INSA, 24 Aug 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.