INSA poll of 17 August 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 16 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%-0.5
- AfD19.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- Grüne11.0%+0.5
- BSW9.0%-0.5
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others7.0%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Aug 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 12 to 16 Aug 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Aug 2024, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.2average 16.8
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 31.3
- Grüne -1.2average 12.2
- SPD +1.1average 14.9
- BSW +1.1average 7.9
- FDP ±0average 5.0
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU210
- AfD133
- SPD112
- Grüne77
- BSW63
- FDP35
- CDU/CSU + AfD343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP322 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.