Single poll
INSA poll of 13 August 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 12 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 2,008
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.5%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 2,008 people were surveyed from 9 to 12 Aug 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Aug 2024, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.7 points lower and BSW 1.6 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.7average 12.2
- BSW +1.6average 7.9
- AfD +1.1average 16.9
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 31.0
- SPD +0.1average 14.9
- FDP -0.1average 5.1
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU217
- AfD128
- SPD107
- Grüne75
- BSW67
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD324 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + BSW + FDP320 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 10 Aug 2024INSA, 17 Aug 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.