Single poll
INSA poll of 13 July 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 12 Jul 2024
- Respondents
- 1,449
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,449 people were surveyed from 8 to 12 Jul 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Jul 2024, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has BSW 1.6 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Jul 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +1.6average 7.4
- AfD +1.0average 17.0
- Linke -1.0average 3.0
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 30.8
- Grüne -0.6average 12.6
- SPD +0.5average 14.5
- FDP -0.1average 5.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU213
- AfD127
- SPD106
- Grüne85
- BSW64
- FDP35
- CDU/CSU + AfD340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP333 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne318 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 8 Jul 2024INSA, 16 Jul 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.