Single poll
INSA poll of 8 July 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 8 Jul 2024
- Respondents
- 2,007
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.5%, followed by AfD on 17.5%. 2,007 people were surveyed from 5 to 8 Jul 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Jul 2024, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.8 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Jul 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.8average 12.8
- BSW +1.2average 7.3
- Freie Wähler -1.2average 2.7
- AfD +0.5average 17.0
- SPD +0.2average 14.8
- FDP +0.2average 5.3
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 30.6
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU219
- AfD125
- SPD107
- Grüne79
- BSW61
- FDP39
- CDU/CSU + AfD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + BSW + FDP319 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 6 Jul 2024INSA, 13 Jul 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.