INSA poll of 6 July 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 5 Jul 2024
- Respondents
- 1,204
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%+0.5
- AfD18.0%+0.5
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%-1.0
- BSW9.0%+0.5
- FDP5.0%-0.5
- Linke2.0%-0.5
- Others10.0%+2.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Jul 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,204 people were surveyed from 1 to 5 Jul 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Jul 2024, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.8 points lower and BSW 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Jul 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.8average 12.8
- BSW +1.7average 7.3
- AfD +1.0average 17.0
- Linke -1.0average 3.0
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 30.6
- FDP -0.3average 5.3
- SPD +0.2average 14.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU215
- AfD129
- SPD107
- Grüne79
- BSW64
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP330 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.