INSA poll of 29 June 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 28 Jun 2024
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%-0.5
- AfD17.0%-0.5
- SPD15.0%+0.5
- Grüne12.0%+0.5
- BSW9.0%+0.5
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Linke2.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler2.0%±0
- Others7.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Jun 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 24 to 28 Jun 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Jun 2024, FDP gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has BSW 2.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Jun 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +2.2average 6.8
- FDP +1.1average 4.9
- Linke -1.1average 3.1
- Grüne -0.9average 12.9
- Freie Wähler -0.7average 2.7
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 30.6
- AfD +0.2average 16.8
- SPD -0.1average 15.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU213
- AfD120
- SPD106
- Grüne85
- BSW64
- FDP42
- CDU/CSU + AfD333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + BSW + FDP319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.