INSA poll of 25 June 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 24 Jun 2024
- Respondents
- 2,008
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.5%+0.5
- AfD17.5%+0.5
- SPD14.5%-0.5
- Grüne11.5%-0.5
- BSW8.5%+0.5
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Freie Wähler2.0%±0
- Others7.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Jun 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.5%, followed by AfD on 17.5%. 2,008 people were surveyed from 21 to 24 Jun 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Jun 2024, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has BSW 1.7 points higher and Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Jun 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +1.7average 6.8
- Grüne -1.6average 13.1
- AfD +0.8average 16.7
- Freie Wähler -0.7average 2.7
- SPD -0.6average 15.1
- Linke -0.2average 3.2
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 30.4
- FDP ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU220
- AfD126
- SPD104
- Grüne83
- BSW61
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD324 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + BSW + FDP317 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.