Single poll
INSA poll of 23 June 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 21 Jun 2024
- Respondents
- 1,204
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 1,204 people were surveyed from 17 to 21 Jun 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Jun 2024, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Jun 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.2average 13.2
- BSW +1.2average 6.8
- Freie Wähler -0.7average 2.7
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 30.3
- AfD +0.3average 16.7
- Linke -0.2average 3.2
- SPD -0.1average 15.1
- FDP ±0average 5.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU217
- AfD123
- SPD109
- Grüne87
- BSW58
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP340 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne319 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 17 Jun 2024INSA, 25 Jun 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.