INSA poll of 17 June 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 17 Jun 2024
- Respondents
- 2,010
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU31.0%±0
- AfD17.0%±0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- BSW8.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Freie Wähler2.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Jun 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 2,010 people were surveyed from 14 to 17 Jun 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Jun 2024, SPD loses 1.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Jun 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.3average 13.3
- BSW +1.3average 6.7
- Freie Wähler -0.8average 2.8
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 30.3
- SPD -0.6average 15.6
- AfD +0.3average 16.7
- Linke -0.2average 3.2
- FDP ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU224
- AfD123
- SPD109
- Grüne80
- BSW58
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + BSW + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.