INSA poll of 11 June 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 10 Jun 2024
- Respondents
- 2,008
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- AfD16.0%±0
- SPD15.5%-0.5
- Grüne12.0%±0
- BSW7.5%-0.5
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Freie Wähler2.5%-0.5
- Others8.5%+1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Jun 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 16.0%. 2,008 people were surveyed from 7 to 10 Jun 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Jun 2024, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Jun 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.3average 13.3
- BSW +1.2average 6.3
- AfD -0.6average 16.6
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 30.4
- Linke -0.3average 3.3
- Freie Wähler -0.3average 2.8
- SPD -0.2average 15.7
- FDP ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU220
- AfD117
- SPD113
- Grüne88
- BSW55
- FDP37
- CDU/CSU + AfD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP345 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.