INSA poll of 8 June 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 7 Jun 2024
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%-0.5
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD16.0%+0.5
- Grüne12.0%±0
- BSW8.0%+0.5
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke3.0%-0.5
- Freie Wähler3.0%+0.5
- Others7.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Jun 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 3 to 7 Jun 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Jun 2024, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has BSW 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Jun 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +1.7average 6.3
- Grüne -1.3average 13.3
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 30.4
- AfD -0.4average 16.4
- Linke -0.3average 3.3
- SPD +0.2average 15.8
- Freie Wähler +0.2average 2.8
- FDP ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU217
- SPD116
- AfD116
- Grüne87
- BSW58
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + SPD333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP340 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.