INSA poll of 28 May 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 27 May 2024
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.5%+0.5
- AfD17.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- BSW7.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Freie Wähler2.5%-0.5
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 May 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.5%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 24 to 27 May 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 May 2024, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 May 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.6average 13.6
- SPD -0.9average 15.9
- BSW +0.9average 6.1
- AfD +0.4average 16.6
- Linke -0.4average 3.4
- FDP -0.1average 5.1
- CDU/CSU ±0average 30.5
- Freie Wähler ±0average 2.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU222
- AfD124
- SPD109
- Grüne88
- BSW51
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP346 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.