INSA poll of 25 May 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 24 May 2024
- Respondents
- 1,202
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- AfD17.0%±0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- Grüne13.0%+0.5
- BSW7.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Others7.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 May 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 21 to 24 May 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 May 2024, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 May 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +1.0average 6.0
- SPD -0.9average 15.9
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 30.7
- Grüne -0.7average 13.7
- Freie Wähler +0.5average 2.5
- AfD +0.4average 16.6
- Linke -0.4average 3.4
- FDP ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU217
- AfD123
- SPD109
- Grüne94
- BSW51
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP347 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.