INSA poll of 11 May 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 10 May 2024
- Respondents
- 1,247
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%-0.5
- AfD17.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%-0.5
- Grüne13.0%+1.0
- BSW7.0%-0.5
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke4.0%+0.5
- Freie Wähler2.0%-0.5
- Others7.0%+1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 May 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 1,247 people were surveyed from 6 to 10 May 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 May 2024, AfD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 May 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +1.2average 5.8
- Grüne -1.0average 14.0
- Linke +0.7average 3.3
- Freie Wähler -0.7average 2.7
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 30.6
- SPD -0.5average 15.5
- AfD -0.4average 17.4
- FDP +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU217
- AfD123
- SPD109
- Grüne94
- BSW51
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP347 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.