Single poll
INSA poll of 6 May 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 6 May 2024
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.5%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 3 to 6 May 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 May 2024, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.1 points lower and BSW 1.7 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 May 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.1average 14.1
- BSW +1.7average 5.8
- AfD +0.9average 17.1
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 30.1
- SPD -0.4average 15.9
- FDP +0.1average 4.9
- Linke +0.1average 3.4
- Freie Wähler -0.1average 2.6
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU217
- AfD128
- SPD110
- Grüne86
- BSW53
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD327 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP339 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne324 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 4 May 2024INSA, 11 May 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.