Single poll
INSA poll of 4 May 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Apr 2024 to 3 May 2024
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 29 Apr 2024 to 3 May 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Apr 2024, SPD loses 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.1 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 May 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.1average 14.1
- BSW +1.2average 5.8
- AfD +0.9average 17.1
- SPD -0.9average 15.9
- Linke +0.6average 3.4
- Freie Wähler -0.6average 2.6
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 30.1
- FDP +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU217
- AfD130
- SPD109
- Grüne87
- BSW51
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP340 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne326 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 30 Apr 2024INSA, 6 May 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.