INSA poll of 27 April 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 26 Apr 2024
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%-1.5
- AfD18.0%-0.5
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- Grüne13.0%+0.5
- BSW7.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Freie Wähler2.0%-0.5
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Apr 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 22 to 26 Apr 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Apr 2024, CDU/CSU loses 1.5 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Apr 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 30.3
- BSW +1.1average 5.9
- Grüne -1.0average 14.0
- AfD +0.9average 17.1
- Linke +0.6average 3.4
- Freie Wähler -0.6average 2.6
- FDP +0.4average 4.6
- SPD +0.3average 15.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU208
- AfD129
- SPD114
- Grüne93
- BSW50
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP337 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.