INSA poll of 22 April 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 22 Apr 2024
- Respondents
- 2,008
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.5%+0.5
- AfD18.5%+0.5
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne12.5%-0.5
- BSW7.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Freie Wähler2.5%+0.5
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Apr 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.5%, followed by AfD on 18.5%. 2,008 people were surveyed from 19 to 22 Apr 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Apr 2024, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Apr 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.1average 17.4
- Grüne -1.1average 13.6
- BSW +0.9average 6.1
- SPD -0.8average 15.8
- Linke +0.7average 3.3
- FDP +0.4average 4.6
- Freie Wähler -0.2average 2.7
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 30.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU217
- AfD131
- SPD107
- Grüne89
- BSW50
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD324 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP342 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne327 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.