INSA poll of 20 April 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 19 Apr 2024
- Respondents
- 1,204
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%+0.5
- AfD18.0%-0.5
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- BSW7.0%+0.5
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%+1.0
- Freie Wähler2.0%-0.5
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Apr 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,204 people were surveyed from 15 to 19 Apr 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Apr 2024, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Apr 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +0.9average 6.1
- SPD -0.8average 15.8
- Linke +0.7average 3.3
- Freie Wähler -0.7average 2.7
- AfD +0.6average 17.4
- Grüne -0.6average 13.6
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 30.4
- FDP +0.4average 4.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU215
- AfD129
- SPD107
- Grüne93
- BSW50
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP344 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.