INSA poll of 2 April 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Mar 2024 to 2 Apr 2024
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- AfD19.5%-0.5
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne12.5%-0.5
- BSW6.5%+0.5
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke3.5%+0.5
- Freie Wähler2.5%+0.5
- Others5.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Mar 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 19.5%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 28 Mar 2024 to 2 Apr 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Mar 2024, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Apr 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.0average 17.5
- Grüne -1.4average 13.9
- SPD -1.2average 16.2
- FDP +0.5average 4.5
- BSW +0.3average 6.2
- Linke +0.3average 3.2
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 30.1
- Freie Wähler +0.1average 2.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU213
- AfD139
- SPD107
- Grüne89
- BSW46
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD320 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP338 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne335 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.