Single poll
INSA poll of 30 March 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 28 Mar 2024
- Respondents
- 1,210
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,210 people were surveyed from 25 to 28 Mar 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Mar 2024, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.5 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Mar 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.5average 17.5
- SPD -1.2average 16.2
- Grüne -0.9average 13.9
- FDP +0.5average 4.5
- Freie Wähler -0.4average 2.4
- BSW -0.2average 6.2
- Linke -0.2average 3.2
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 30.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU213
- AfD142
- SPD106
- Grüne92
- BSW42
- FDP35
- CDU/CSU + AfD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP340 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne340 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 25 Mar 2024INSA, 2 Apr 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.