INSA poll of 6 April 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 5 Apr 2024
- Respondents
- 1,243
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
- AfD19.0%-0.5
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%+0.5
- BSW6.0%-0.5
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke3.0%-0.5
- Freie Wähler2.0%-0.5
- Others6.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Apr 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,243 people were surveyed from 2 to 5 Apr 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Apr 2024, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Apr 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.6average 17.4
- SPD -1.1average 16.1
- Grüne -1.0average 14.0
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 30.3
- FDP +0.6average 4.4
- Freie Wähler -0.5average 2.5
- Linke -0.2average 3.2
- BSW -0.1average 6.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU220
- AfD135
- SPD106
- Grüne92
- BSW42
- FDP35
- CDU/CSU + AfD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP347 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.