Single poll
INSA poll of 9 March 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 8 Mar 2024
- Respondents
- 1,249
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,249 people were surveyed from 4 to 8 Mar 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Mar 2024, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.7 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Mar 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.7average 13.7
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 30.1
- BSW +0.6average 6.4
- Freie Wähler -0.6average 2.6
- AfD +0.4average 18.6
- SPD -0.2average 15.2
- FDP +0.2average 4.8
- Linke -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU219
- AfD135
- SPD106
- Grüne85
- BSW50
- FDP35
- CDU/CSU + AfD354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP339 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne326 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 4 Mar 2024INSA, 11 Mar 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.