Single poll
INSA poll of 4 March 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 4 Mar 2024
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.5%, followed by AfD on 19.5%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 1 to 4 Mar 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Mar 2024, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Mar 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +0.8average 4.7
- AfD +0.7average 18.8
- SPD -0.5average 15.0
- Grüne -0.5average 13.5
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 30.3
- BSW +0.2average 6.3
- Linke -0.1average 3.1
- Freie Wähler -0.1average 2.6
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU215
- AfD137
- SPD102
- Grüne91
- BSW46
- FDP39
- CDU/CSU + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD317 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP345 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne330 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 2 Mar 2024INSA, 9 Mar 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.