Single poll
INSA poll of 2 March 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 26 Feb 2024 to 1 Mar 2024
- Respondents
- 1,200
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,200 people were surveyed from 26 Feb 2024 to 1 Mar 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Feb 2024, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Mar 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +0.7average 6.3
- Grüne -0.5average 13.5
- Freie Wähler +0.4average 2.6
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 30.3
- FDP +0.3average 4.7
- AfD +0.2average 18.8
- Linke -0.1average 3.1
- SPD ±0average 15.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU212
- AfD135
- SPD106
- Grüne92
- BSW50
- FDP35
- CDU/CSU + AfD347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP339 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne333 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 27 Feb 2024INSA, 4 Mar 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.