Single poll
INSA poll of 27 January 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 26 Jan 2024
- Respondents
- 1,201
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,201 people were surveyed from 22 to 26 Jan 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Jan 2024, FDP loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jan 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +1.4average 5.6
- FDP -1.3average 5.3
- Freie Wähler -0.9average 2.9
- SPD -0.7average 14.7
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 30.5
- AfD -0.3average 21.3
- Grüne -0.3average 13.3
- Linke ±0average 4.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU227
- AfD154
- SPD103
- Grüne95
- BSW51
- CDU/CSU + AfD381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne352 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 23 Jan 2024INSA, 29 Jan 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.