Single poll
INSA poll of 23 January 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 22 Jan 2024
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.5%, followed by AfD on 21.5%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 19 to 22 Jan 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Jan 2024, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Jan 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 31.6
- Grüne -0.9average 13.4
- Linke -0.9average 3.9
- SPD -0.7average 14.2
- Freie Wähler -0.6average 3.1
- AfD -0.4average 21.9
- FDP +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU232
- AfD163
- SPD102
- Grüne95
- FDP38
- CDU/CSU + AfD395 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne327 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne360 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 20 Jan 2024INSA, 27 Jan 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.