Single poll
INSA poll of 16 January 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 15 Jan 2024
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 12 to 15 Jan 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Jan 2024, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Jan 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.3average 13.3
- AfD +0.9average 22.1
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 31.6
- SPD -0.2average 14.2
- FDP +0.1average 4.9
- Linke +0.1average 3.9
- Freie Wähler -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU230
- AfD170
- SPD104
- Grüne89
- FDP37
- CDU/CSU + AfD400 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne363 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 13 Jan 2024INSA, 20 Jan 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.