Single poll
INSA poll of 13 January 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 12 Jan 2024
- Respondents
- 1,202
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 8 to 12 Jan 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Jan 2024, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Jan 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 31.4
- Grüne -1.3average 13.3
- SPD +0.6average 14.4
- AfD -0.1average 22.1
- FDP +0.1average 4.9
- Linke +0.1average 3.9
- Freie Wähler -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU225
- AfD165
- SPD113
- Grüne90
- FDP37
- CDU/CSU + AfD390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD338 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 9 Jan 2024INSA, 16 Jan 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.