Single poll
INSA poll of 7 January 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 5 Jan 2024
- Respondents
- 1,204
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,204 people were surveyed from 2 to 5 Jan 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Jan 2024, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.7 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Jan 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.7average 13.7
- SPD +1.2average 14.8
- AfD +0.9average 22.1
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 31.3
- FDP -0.2average 5.2
- Linke +0.2average 3.8
- Freie Wähler +0.2average 2.8
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU224
- AfD167
- SPD116
- Grüne87
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD340 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP347 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP319 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 3 Jan 2024INSA, 9 Jan 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.