INSA poll of 30 December 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 28 to 29 Dec 2023
- Respondents
- 1,001
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU32.0%±0
- AfD23.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Dec 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 28 to 29 Dec 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Dec 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Dec 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.0average 14.0
- AfD +1.1average 21.9
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 31.3
- Linke +0.4average 3.6
- SPD +0.2average 14.8
- FDP -0.1average 5.1
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU232
- AfD166
- SPD109
- Grüne87
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.