Single poll
INSA poll of 28 December 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 27 Dec 2023
- Respondents
- 2,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 2,000 people were surveyed from 22 to 27 Dec 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Dec 2023, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.0 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Dec 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.0average 14.0
- AfD +1.1average 21.9
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 31.3
- Linke +0.4average 3.6
- SPD +0.2average 14.8
- FDP -0.1average 5.1
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU232
- AfD166
- SPD109
- Grüne87
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 23 Dec 2023INSA, 30 Dec 2023 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2023
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.