INSA poll of 23 December 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 22 Dec 2023
- Respondents
- 1,202
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU32.0%+0.5
- AfD22.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%-0.5
- Grüne12.0%-0.5
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%+0.5
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Dec 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 18 to 22 Dec 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Dec 2023, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Dec 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.0average 14.0
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 31.3
- Linke +0.4average 3.6
- SPD +0.2average 14.8
- AfD +0.1average 21.9
- FDP -0.1average 5.1
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU234
- AfD161
- SPD110
- Grüne88
- FDP37
- CDU/CSU + AfD395 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne359 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.