INSA poll of 25 November 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 24 Nov 2023
- Respondents
- 1,202
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- AfD22.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%-0.5
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- FDP6.0%+0.5
- Linke4.0%-0.5
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Others7.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Nov 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 20 to 24 Nov 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Nov 2023, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Nov 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.8average 14.8
- AfD +1.1average 20.9
- FDP +0.6average 5.4
- SPD +0.4average 15.6
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 29.9
- Linke -0.1average 4.1
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU220
- AfD161
- SPD117
- Grüne88
- FDP44
- CDU/CSU + AfD381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD337 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.