INSA poll of 27 November 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 27 Nov 2023
- Respondents
- 2,007
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.5%+0.5
- AfD22.0%±0
- SPD15.5%-0.5
- Grüne12.5%+0.5
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Others6.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Nov 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.5%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 2,007 people were surveyed from 24 to 27 Nov 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Nov 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Nov 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.3average 14.8
- AfD +1.1average 20.9
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 29.9
- FDP +0.6average 5.4
- SPD -0.1average 15.6
- Linke -0.1average 4.1
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU222
- AfD160
- SPD113
- Grüne91
- FDP44
- CDU/CSU + AfD382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP357 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP317 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.