INSA poll of 21 November 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 20 Nov 2023
- Respondents
- 2,003
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- AfD21.0%±0
- SPD16.5%+0.5
- Grüne13.0%±0
- FDP5.5%-0.5
- Linke4.5%+0.5
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Others6.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Nov 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 2,003 people were surveyed from 17 to 20 Nov 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Nov 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Nov 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.6average 14.6
- SPD +0.8average 15.7
- Linke +0.5average 4.0
- AfD +0.2average 20.8
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 29.9
- FDP +0.1average 5.4
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU220
- AfD154
- SPD121
- Grüne95
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + AfD374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP355 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.