INSA poll of 28 October 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 27 Oct 2023
- Respondents
- 1,216
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU31.0%+2.5
- AfD21.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%-0.5
- Grüne13.0%±0
- FDP6.0%+0.5
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler3.0%-0.5
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Oct 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,216 people were surveyed from 23 to 27 Oct 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Oct 2023, CDU/CSU gains 2.5 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Oct 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.7average 29.3
- Grüne -1.2average 14.2
- FDP +0.6average 5.4
- SPD +0.4average 15.6
- Linke -0.4average 4.4
- AfD -0.3average 21.3
- Freie Wähler -0.2average 3.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU225
- AfD152
- SPD116
- Grüne94
- FDP43
- CDU/CSU + AfD377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.