Single poll
INSA poll of 30 October 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 30 Oct 2023
- Respondents
- 2,010
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.5%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 2,010 people were surveyed from 27 to 30 Oct 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Oct 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Oct 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.2average 29.3
- Grüne -1.2average 14.2
- SPD +0.9average 15.6
- Linke -0.4average 4.4
- AfD -0.3average 21.3
- Freie Wähler +0.3average 3.2
- FDP +0.1average 5.4
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU222
- AfD153
- SPD120
- Grüne95
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + AfD375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne317 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne368 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 28 Oct 2023INSA, 5 Nov 2023 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2023
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.