Single poll
INSA poll of 16 October 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 16 Oct 2023
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 13 to 16 Oct 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Oct 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Oct 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.6average 14.6
- AfD +1.4average 21.6
- Freie Wähler +1.0average 3.0
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 27.3
- SPD -0.3average 16.8
- FDP -0.1average 6.1
- Linke -0.1average 4.6
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU204
- AfD167
- SPD120
- Grüne95
- FDP44
- CDU/CSU + AfD371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD324 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP343 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP331 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 14 Oct 2023INSA, 21 Oct 2023 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2023
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.