Single poll
INSA poll of 14 October 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 13 Oct 2023
- Respondents
- 1,202
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 9 to 13 Oct 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Oct 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Freie Wähler gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Oct 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.6average 14.6
- AfD +1.4average 21.6
- Freie Wähler +1.0average 3.0
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 27.3
- Linke +0.4average 4.6
- SPD +0.2average 16.8
- FDP -0.1average 6.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- AfD158
- SPD116
- Grüne89
- FDP41
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + AfD350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne397 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP322 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 10 Oct 2023INSA, 16 Oct 2023 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2023
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.