INSA poll of 26 September 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 25 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 2,003
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- AfD21.5%-0.5
- SPD17.5%+0.5
- Grüne13.5%-0.5
- FDP6.5%+0.5
- Linke5.0%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Sep 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 21.5%. 2,003 people were surveyed from 22 to 25 Sep 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Sep 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.2average 14.7
- Freie Wähler +1.0average 2.0
- SPD +0.6average 16.9
- Linke +0.5average 4.5
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 27.1
- AfD -0.1average 21.6
- FDP ±0average 6.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU187
- AfD149
- SPD121
- Grüne93
- FDP45
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + AfD336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne401 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.