INSA poll of 11 September 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 11 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 2,002
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.5%-0.5
- AfD22.0%±0
- SPD18.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke4.5%-0.5
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Sep 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.5%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 8 to 11 Sep 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Sep 2023, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.1average 20.9
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 27.0
- SPD +0.3average 17.7
- Grüne -0.2average 14.2
- FDP +0.2average 6.8
- Linke -0.2average 4.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU191
- AfD158
- SPD130
- Grüne101
- FDP50
- CDU/CSU + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD321 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP342 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.