INSA poll of 9 September 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 8 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 1,201
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%+0.5
- AfD22.0%+0.5
- SPD18.0%+0.5
- Grüne13.0%-0.5
- FDP7.0%-0.5
- Linke5.0%+0.5
- Others8.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Sep 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,201 people were surveyed from 4 to 8 Sep 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Sep 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.2average 14.2
- AfD +1.1average 20.9
- SPD +0.3average 17.7
- Linke +0.3average 4.7
- FDP +0.2average 6.8
- CDU/CSU ±0average 27.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- AfD151
- SPD123
- Grüne89
- FDP48
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + AfD336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne397 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP322 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.