INSA poll of 4 September 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 4 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 2,010
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.5%-0.5
- AfD21.5%+0.5
- SPD17.5%-0.5
- Grüne13.5%+0.5
- FDP7.5%+0.5
- Linke4.5%-0.5
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Sep 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.5%, followed by AfD on 21.5%. 2,010 people were surveyed from 1 to 4 Sep 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Sep 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -0.8average 14.3
- AfD +0.6average 20.9
- FDP +0.6average 6.9
- SPD -0.5average 18.0
- Linke -0.2average 4.7
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 26.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU193
- AfD157
- SPD127
- Grüne98
- FDP55
- CDU/CSU + AfD350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD320 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP346 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP339 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.