INSA poll of 2 September 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Aug 2023 to 1 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 1,195
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%+0.5
- AfD21.0%±0
- SPD18.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%-1.5
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%+0.5
- Others9.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Aug 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,195 people were surveyed from 28 Aug 2023 to 1 Sep 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Aug 2023, Grüne loses 1.5 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.3average 14.3
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 26.6
- Linke +0.3average 4.7
- AfD +0.1average 20.9
- FDP +0.1average 6.9
- SPD ±0average 18.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU187
- AfD145
- SPD125
- Grüne90
- FDP48
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + AfD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne402 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP360 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP325 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.